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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
| Choose a different matchup: |
HEREFORD vs. FOREST GREEN ROVERS
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
| The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.
A historical comparison of Hereford's and Forest Green Rovers's ELO scores.
| Hereford | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score: | 3083.4 | 3406.5 |
| Best ELO Score: | 3777.9 Saturday, September 4, 1976 |
3655.6 Tuesday, February 8, 2022 |
| Worst ELO Score: | 2756.8 Friday, December 26, 2014 |
3229.5 Saturday, October 23, 2004 |
A summary of all historical matches between Hereford and Forest Green Rovers.
| Venue | Played | Hereford wins |
Draws | Forest Green Rovers wins |
Hereford goals |
Forest Green Rovers goals |
Hereford SR% |
Forest Green Rovers SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 72.5% | 27.5% |
| HOME | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| AWAY | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 JAN 2014 | CONF | Forest Green Rovers (3341) |
1 - 1 | Hereford United (3360) |
0.6 |
| 28 DEC 2013 | CONF | Hereford United (3351) |
1 - 0 | Forest Green Rovers (3350) |
8.8 |
| 9 APR 2013 | CONF | Forest Green Rovers (3376) |
0 - 1 | Hereford United (3406) |
10.4 |
| 25 SEP 2012 | CONF | Hereford United (3401) |
1 - 2 | Forest Green Rovers (3418) |
10.8 |
| 2 JAN 2006 | CONF | Hereford United (3509) |
1 - 1 | Forest Green Rovers (3289) |
6.6 |
| 26 DEC 2005 | CONF | Forest Green Rovers (3265) |
2 - 2 | Hereford United (3501) |
4.8 |
| 12 APR 2005 | CONF | Forest Green Rovers (3293) |
1 - 3 | Hereford United (3530) |
8 |
| 7 DEC 2004 | CONF | Hereford United (3546) |
2 - 1 | Forest Green Rovers (3283) |
2.7 |
| 19 DEC 2003 | CONF | Forest Green Rovers (3375) |
1 - 7 | Hereford United (3468) |
19.2 |
| 12 AUG 2003 | CONF | Hereford United (3430) |
5 - 1 | Forest Green Rovers (3419) |
15 |
| 28 DEC 2002 | CONF | Hereford United (3446) |
1 - 1 | Forest Green Rovers (3341) |
4.5 |
| 20 AUG 2002 | CONF | Forest Green Rovers (3334) |
1 - 3 | Hereford United (3383) |
15.7 |
| 5 JAN 2002 | CONF | Forest Green Rovers (3374) |
1 - 1 | Hereford United (3414) |
0.7 |
| 4 SEP 2001 | CONF | Hereford United (3437) |
0 - 0 | Forest Green Rovers (3380) |
3.4 |
| 16 APR 2001 | CONF | Forest Green Rovers (3343) |
1 - 1 | Hereford United (3438) |
0.8 |
| 11 NOV 2000 | CONF | Hereford United (3488) |
3 - 1 | Forest Green Rovers (3354) |
7.2 |
| 18 MAR 2000 | CONF | Forest Green Rovers (3401) |
0 - 1 | Hereford United (3467) |
10 |
| 14 SEP 1999 | CONF | Hereford United (3410) |
1 - 0 | Forest Green Rovers (3357) |
6.7 |
| 5 APR 1999 | CONF | Hereford United (3355) |
4 - 0 | Forest Green Rovers (3459) |
20.7 |
| 28 DEC 1998 | CONF | Forest Green Rovers (3350) |
2 - 1 | Hereford United (3434) |
10.5 |